GLOBAL OUTLOOK / 2026
Separate the time horizons.
The World Economic Forum examines immediate, two-year and ten-year risks. Use each horizon for a different decision.
Read the briefing →
GLOBAL RISK · RESEARCH · RESILIENCE
Global perspective.
Clearer decisions.
Explore connected risks and the choices
that build business resilience.
See the wider picture
Primary-source research, with context.
→02 / CONNECTIONSUnderstand the exposure
From global forces to business questions.
→03 / SCENARIOSMake assumptions visible
Compare risk and control scenarios.
→THE CONNECTED RISK LANDSCAPE
Risk rarely stays
in one category.
A trade disruption can become a supplier issue.
A cyber incident can become a continuity crisis.
Look across the connections before choosing a response.
◎
Geopolitics & trade
Market access, supply dependencies and cross-border disruption.
Explore connections →⌘Cyber & technology
Digital dependencies, AI governance and operational continuity.
Explore connections →≈Climate & resilience
Physical exposure, infrastructure and recovery readiness.
Explore connections →→Financial & enterprise
Counterparties, liquidity pressures and decision ownership.
Explore connections →RESEARCH & PERSPECTIVE
Evidence before assumption.
BUSINESS RISK / 2026
Understand what a survey measures.
Allianz’s business risk survey highlights cyber and AI concerns. A perception ranking is a useful prompt for investigation.
Read the briefing →PLANNING / PRACTICAL TOOL
Test the value of a control.
Change probability, impact and control assumptions. See how the arithmetic changes before drawing a conclusion.
Build a scenario →Research reviewed 12 November 2026. Source dates and limitations accompany each briefing. No live risk feed.
A PRACTICAL STARTING POINT
What would change
your decision?
Make the assumptions explicit. Compare a baseline with a proposed control. Download a scenario to discuss with your team.
Explore the scenario planner →ILLUSTRATIVE SCENARIO · USD
Baseline annual expected loss$100,000
Residual annual expected loss$60,000
Annual control cost$20,000
Example only: 10% event probability × $1m impact, with a 40% impact reduction. Not a forecast or recommendation.
FROM PERSPECTIVE TO PRACTICE
Start with a better question.
Explore the assumptions behind your next risk decision.